The Japanese yen fell by 0.8% and fell below 151, while the Australian dollar, the commodity currency, rose by over 0.8%. On Monday (December 9, the day after non-farming), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.11% to 106.171 points, which fluctuated violently throughout the day. It was as low as 105.798 points when it was refreshed at 00:01 Beijing time, and then it was pumped back and approached the daily high of 106 when it was refreshed at 12:42. The Bloomberg dollar index rose 0.14% to 1280.69 points, with an intraday trading range of 1276.41-1281.07 points. The dollar rose 0.80% against the yen to 151.20 yen, and the intraday trading range was 149.69-151.35 yen. The euro fell by 0.14% to 1.0553, the pound rose by 0.05% to 1.2751, and the dollar was roughly flat at 0.8788 against the Swiss franc, with a V-shaped reversal at 00:04 to 0.8759 throughout the day. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar rose 0.83% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar rose 0.58% against the US dollar and the US dollar rose 0.10% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona rose 0.21% against the US dollar and the Norwegian krona rose 0.29% against the US dollar.Oracle Bone Inscriptions expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $1.50 and $1.54 in the third quarter. The market expects earnings per share to be $1.57.The market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the yield of government bonds in the next 10 years will drop to around 1.8%. Therefore, the "rush to run" behavior of institutions is more obvious, and the yield of 10-year government bonds fell below 2%, challenging 1.9%. From the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank will continue to cut interest rates. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. (SSE)
Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.The increase of $3,500 per car cost of Detroit car companies is affected by Trump's tariff policy. Bloomberg industry research analysis shows that if US President-elect Trump imposes proposed tariffs on imported goods from Canada and Mexico, the labor cost per car of American car companies may increase by more than $3,500, and if the production of auto parts returns to the United States, this figure may be higher. Considering the production scale of Ford Motor Company, General Motors Company and Stellantis Company in Mexico, they are likely to suffer the most, while Tesla and Gentex are likely to suffer the least.The cryptocurrency fell below $95,000 in the short term, and the cryptocurrency continued to fall below the $95,000 mark in the short term. The decline of Ethereum expanded to 10% and fell below $3,600.
AppLovin closed down nearly 15%, the biggest one-day drop since August 2022.Turkey will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e port on the Turkish-Syrian border. On the 9th, Turkish President Erdogan said that his country will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e border port in Hatay province in the southeast, which is adjacent to Syria, so as to facilitate Syrian refugees in Turkey to return home.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide